Sorry, Trump supporters. I realize you think the Mueller report finding no collusion with Russia justifies a victory lap, with images of disappointed Democrats dancing through your heads.
I'm a Democrat who is feeling pretty darn good right now. Here's four reasons why.
(1) Impeachment is even less likely now. Democratic leaders in Congress haven't been pushing for impeachment of Trump. Nancy Pelosi has said that she is against starting impeachment proceedings unless there's a bipartisan consensus in favor of this. Which will never happen.
I suspect that impeachment now is even less likely, since apparently there's no smoking gun evidence against Trump in the Mueller report. This is good news for Democrats and bad news for Republicans -- since impeachment would fire up the GOP base in the 2020 election.
(2) Obstruction of justice remains a hot issue. Well-informed legal analysts on MSNBC made some great arguments about Mueller's lack of a conclusion about whether Trump obstructed justice. Attorney General Barr said that he independently concluded that there wasn't enough evidence to justify an obstruction of justice case.
This was a dubious thing for Barr to do.
He is a Trump appointee. He wrote a 19 page memo in 2018 arguing that likely Trump couldn't be found to have obstructed justice. So his credibility on this issue is very low. Democrats will surely question Barr in an open committee hearing about his conclusion in today's 4-page Mueller report summary regarding obstruction of justice. This will keep the issue alive.
(3) Good stuff for Dems likely lies in the report. Barr only included a few brief direct quotes from Mueller's report in the summary he released today. I suspect once Congressional Democrats are able to read the report itself, hopefully along with the underlying documents, quite a bit of good stuff for Dems and bad stuff for Trump will come to light.
This will be especially true on the obstruction of justice front, but it's hard for me to believe that additional evidence of contacts with Russians by people associated with the Trump campaign isn't in Mueller's report. Maybe this doesn't rise to the level of collusion or conspiracy. It sure won't make Trump look good, though.
(4) Other investigations continue on. Legal analysts are fond of saying that the Mueller investigation likely is the least of Trump's worries. The Southern District of New York is delving into issues that could end up being much more serious for Trump, building in part on Michael Cohen's cooperation with investigators regarding Trump's shady financial dealings, the Stormy Daniels payoff just before the 2016 election. etc.
Trump is going to be in legal trouble all the way through election day 2020, most likely. Maybe his base won't be bothered by this. Probably independent voters will be, though. I remain confident that Trump is going to be a one-term president. He can proclaim all he wants about "No collusion!" but this won't be the issue that decides the election.
Rather, Trump's lack of character and his bad policies will lead to a Democrat being elected president in 2020.