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March 13, 2018

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Except that Micki Varney is on videotape opposing the third bridge as proposed. With millions of dollars and years of time spent developing the current bridge proposal, West Salem voters aren’t going to take too kindly to a candidate that wants to scuttle all of that and go back to the drawing board. Brian, you and your supporters might oppose the bridge, but it is HUGELY popular with residents of West Salem who will be voting for their Ward 8 councilor.

Thanks for this, I am trying to find more information about the race for the two marion county commissioner seats. Keeping the all the commission all Republican would do more to keep the bridge alive than city council.

The best qualified candidate is Bill Burgess I don't know anything about the others.

"With millions of dollars and years of time spent developing the current bridge proposal, West Salem voters aren’t going to take too kindly to a candidate that wants to scuttle all of that and go back to the drawing board."

That is called The Sunk Cost Fallacy."
"Individuals commit the sunk cost fallacy when they continue a behavior or endeavor as a result of previously invested resources (time, money or effort) (Arkes & Blumer, 1985). This fallacy, which is related to status quo bias, can also be viewed as bias resulting from an ongoing commitment. For example, individuals sometimes order too much food and then over-eat ‘just to get their money’s worth’. Similarly, a person may have a $20 ticket to a concert and then drive for hours through a blizzard, just because s/he feels that s/he has to attend due to having made the initial investment. If the costs outweigh the benefits, the extra costs incurred (inconvenience, time or even money) are held in a different mental account than the one associated with the ticket transaction (Thaler, 1999). "
From https://www.behavioraleconomics.com/mini-encyclopedia-of-be/sunk-cost-fallacy/

Ben, I have been canvassing for Micki in Ward 8 in the past month. The people I talk to, with just a few exceptions, are not HUGE fans of the 3rd Bridge. Some, who have studied the matter, realize there are lots of problems with the current plan. It really harms Wallace Marine Park. It harms Edgewater (taking out all the businesses on one side all the way to the old City Hall). The plan would close the Rosemont exit which would be a disaster. The bridge is built in a earthquake liquefaction zone which is a big factor in the huge cost of about a half billion dollars. As Brian points out there is no credible plan to pay for it, just a lot of foolish wishing and hoping ("Build it Now"). Micki is being responsible in calling for actions that can be taken now to begin to solve the peak hour congestion problem and not wasting any more time and money on a badly flawed 3rd Bridge plan.

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