The Democratic Party of Oregon is about to get a new member. But party leaders shouldn't get too excited about my shift from "not a member of a party."
Here's why. I'm sending in my changed voter registration form tomorrow because I want to vote for Barack Obama in the primary on May 20. That's pretty much the only reason.
So if the Democratic Party superdelegates, who aren't so super, screw Obama out of the nomination even though he ends up with more pledged delegates, I'm back to unaffiliated.
A side benefit of registering as a Democrat is that I'll have a card capable of being sliced up into tiny pieces and mailed to the Democratic Party headquarters if Obama gets the raw end of back room deal-making.
Hopefully that won't happen. Currently Obama leads Clinton by 138 pledged delegates, 1141 to 1003. That's a 53% to 47% split.
There are 1025 delegates still to be selected. Even if Clinton wins 55% of them, and Obama just 45%, Obama still will end up in the lead: 1602 to 1567.
And this assumes a highly unlikely turnaround in voter sentiment, with Clinton more than reversing the pro-Obama trend so far.
I was pleased to see that a recent poll shows Obama and Clinton in a dead heat among Texas Democrats. That state is supposed to be Clinton country, but Obama is closing fast.
According to Pollster.com, Wisconsin is heading Obama's way. Tomorrow we'll see how accurate this compendium of polls is – currently showing Obama up 49-42.
So I'm looking forward to the Democratic Party superdelegates throwing their support to Obama after the primary voting is over and he's got a comfortable lead in pledged delegates.
If this doesn't happen, a lot of people – including newbie Democrats like me – are going to wonder, "Whatever happened to the 'democracy' in Democratic?"